Home I Betting Tips I Football I Chelsea vs Tottenham Hostpur Match Preview & Betting Prediction
Well, having spoiled you rotten last week, we’ll endeavor to make those Easter Eggs taste all the sweeter by plucking out the value from the biggest game of the weekend by a country mile- Chelsea v Spurs. Last week we gave you 9/4, 9/2, and 6/1 winners with our Germany v Spain preview, let’s see what we can dig out this time. Having waited a fortnight for some Premier League action, Chelsea v Spurs really is a behemoth of a match. It’s live on Sky Sports, 4pm Easter Sunday.
A lot has been made of the Spurs’ record at Stamford Bridge. It is, quite frankly, abysmal. It’s actually the longest streak without a win at a ground in Premier League history- Spurs haven’t won at the Bridge for TWENTY EIGHT years. Twenty eight! Harry Kane hadn’t even been born the last time the Spurs beat Chelsea away. A pint of beer cost £1, a pint of milk was 30p and Roxette was number one in the charts. Gazza hadn’t yet charmed the World at Italia ’90. Great times. Whilst we all like a stroll down memory lane every now and again, if your betting brain gets stuck in the past, you’re going to end up in the poor house.
If you considered only the Spurs’ aforementioned record you could only make Chelsea pretty strong favourites at home. If you look at the league table, Spurs are fourth and Chelsea are fifth. Although five points is a decent margin, home advantage is still enough to make the Blues the favourites. The FORM table, however, paints quite a different picture. If you take the last six Premier League games into account, Spurs are second to Man City (on goal difference). Chelsea are FIFTEENTH.
They’ve lost four of their last six league games, whereas Spurs have won five and drawn one. Spurs have Kane, and one of the Premier League’s absolute form players in Son Heung-min. Chelsea are playing half their games without a centre forward at the moment and Conte looks a man who knows his days are numbered.
Chelsea are definitely on the downward part of their familiar cycle- treading water before the new manager comes in in the summer and splashes the cash. Spurs, contrarily, are a settled side who look on the verge of something big. You can see where this one’s heading.
Tottenham are 9/4 to win the match with Bet365, Betfair Sports and Betway. We make Spurs an excellent bet this week. Betfair Sports are 5/4 Spurs “draw no bet”, which means you get your money back if it’s a draw and collect if Spurs get the job done. It’s just as much value and a safer option for the more cautious gambler.
Before getting too stuck in though (regular readers will know what’s coming next) you’ve got to check the teams. Harry Kane has been out for three weeks with ankle ligament damage and is in a race to be fit in time for Sunday’s showpiece. Thibaut Courtois is Chelsea’s main doubt.
If Kane plays- and Courtois doesn’t- we’ll be all over Spurs like a cheap suit. Courtois has been struggling with a hamstring injury since before the international break. Willy Caballero will deputize. It’s a miracle he is getting Premier League matches for anyone, let alone the likes of Man City and Chelsea. He’s an accident waiting to happen and Spurs will relish the opportunity of peppering the Chelsea goal if Courtois sits this one out.
Turning our attention to the first goalscorer market, there’s one price that sticks out. It’s anyone’s guess who- if anyone- will start up front for Chelsea. Álvaro Morata’s confidence looks shot, Conte doesn’t look to have much faith in Olivier Giroud (despite signing him just two months ago), and Eden Hazard can look a bit lost if he’s asked to play as the false nine.
With Kane under an injury cloud, we’re going for Son as first goalscorer at a whopping 15/2 with Bet365. Son’s scored four in his last two Premier League games and is absolutely red hot at the moment. He’s widely available at 14/1 to find the net twice again on Sunday. Willian looks the value in the Chelsea ranks if you fancy the Blues to score first- again at 15/2.
As usual, be lucky and enjoy the game, whatever you’re backing. Have a cracking Easter.
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