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The ATP World Tour Finals is always an exciting event with the best players in the world fighting for London’s glory. However, the 2016 edition promises to be even more interesting with the World’s No.1 spot at stake.
For those who aren’t familiar with the World Tour Finals organization, the competition has two different stages. After the round robin stage in the first six days, the four best players move to the semi-finals. As usual, Andy Murray and Novak Djokovic are the two main favorites to lift the trophy in London.
Either player could end this event as the number 1 player in the world. Therefore, let’s take a look at the possible scenarios.
As you can see, all scenarios are possible with Murray starting this event only 130 points ahead of Djokovic. Both players are the main favorite to win their group, yet Djokovic seems to have a much easier task than his rival.
When looking to the Serbian’s opponents in the Ivan Lendl Group, it’s hard to find a player in good shape. Milos Raonic is in doubt after retiring from the BNP Paribas Masters semi-finals. Gael Monfils withdrew from the ATP Masters 1000 Paris due to a rib injury. Dominic Thiem is completely exhausted after a very demanding year.
On the other hand, Murray won’t have an easy task to reach the semi-finals with Stan Wawrinka, Kei Nishikori and Marin Cilic as his opponents in the John McEnroe Group. However, we should see Andy booking a place in the following stage for the first time since 2012.
If both players win their group, we should witness a Murray vs Djokovic duel in the final. These two players have featured some remarkable battles in the past with 34 prior encounters between them. Looking now to their previous meetings, Djokovic leads in the head-to-head by 24 – 10.
Despite Murray’s outstanding year, Novak is a terrible match-up for the Brit. Adding to this, the Serbian holds an astonishing record in London with four consecutive titles while Murray is still looking for his first appearance on this event’s final. With this in mind, Djokovic should leave London as the new World No.1.
Therefore, Novak’s price to win the ATP World Tour Finals at 2.59 at Pinnacle is without any doubts, the most valuable play for this contest.
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